Holiday traffic is high, competition is intense, and purchase intent spikes. Retailers see up to a 25% increase in conversions during peak seasonal weeks, and more than 60% of shoppers report discovering new brands through social platforms during this time. With demand rising but attention spans shrinking, the way audiences are built plays a direct role in campaign profitability.
Focus on High‑Intent Segments
A key part of seasonal targeting is identifying the users most likely to convert. Across digital campaigns, remarketing audiences typically generate conversion rates two to three times higher than cold audiences. This makes it essential to segment based on behaviors such as repeated visits, added‑to‑cart sessions, and high‑engagement interactions with product‑focused content.
Use Seasonal Behavior Signals

Spontaneity in holiday purchases is declining — fewer shoppers buy on impulse
Holiday shoppers behave differently from the rest of the year. Statistics show that over 55% of December buyers start researching weeks earlier, creating a longer consideration window. Tracking early‑season browsing patterns helps build predictive segments that can be activated closer to major shopping dates.
Leverage Look‑Alike and Predictive Models
High‑performing campaigns frequently rely on audiences modeled from top customers. During the holiday season, modeled audiences can outperform generic interest‑based audiences by up to 40% in return on ad spend. The reason is simple: modeled groups reflect real customer traits and purchase tendencies, maintaining relevance even when market competition spikes.
Refresh Your Audiences Frequently

Refreshing audience segments during the holiday window can boost click-through rates by up to 15%
Seasonal intent changes rapidly. Refreshing your audience lists weekly helps maintain relevance and reduce wasted spend. Brands that update their segments during peak weeks often see up to a 15% improvement in click‑through rates.
Combine Multiple Data Sources
Blending behavioral data, engagement data, and modeled audiences creates a more complete view of user intent. Studies show that multi‑source audience strategies can lift conversion rates by 20% or more compared with single‑source targeting.
Strengthen Creative‑Audience Alignment
Even the most precise audience underperforms if paired with mismatched creative. Seasonal campaigns that align creative themes to audience motivations (for example urgency‑driven shoppers, gift‑focused buyers, or deal hunters) typically achieve 30% higher engagement.
Final Thoughts
Success during the holiday season depends on targeting precision, timing, and understanding shifting user behavior. By combining high‑intent segments, frequent data refreshes, and predictive models, brands can capture the surge in seasonal demand and turn it into measurable revenue growth.